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Former US ambassador Shapiro: US-Iran deal unlikely within 60 days or even six months

The Zioneer Intelligence DeskUpdated 15:11
Former US ambassador Shapiro: US-Iran deal unlikely within 60 days or even six months

Primary source Internal intake · 1 reviewed intake signal · Desk window 15:07–15:11

TL;DR

Dan Shapiro, former U.S. ambassador to Israel, said Wednesday at the Herzliya Conference at Reichman University that he does not expect a U.S.-Iran deal to be reached within 60 days or even six months. His assessment comes amid ongoing negotiations between Washington and Tehran and follows a series of Israeli and U.S. official statements offering varying timelines for a potential agreement.

01 · THE DISPATCH

Former U.S. Ambassador to Israel Dan Shapiro struck a skeptical note on the timeline for a U.S.-Iran deal in remarks at the Herzliya Conference at Reichman University on Wednesday. "I don't think there will be an agreement in 60 days, nor in six months," Shapiro said, according to a relay from the N12 chat.

The comment places Shapiro at the more pessimistic end of the spectrum of public assessments by current and former U.S. officials. By contrast, U.S. Vice President JD Vance stated in early June that a deal could be signed as soon as the following week — but also acknowledged it could take months. Secretary of State Marco Rubio described the current 60-day negotiating framework as a temporary measure, while a senior White House official said the next two to three weeks would determine whether a full deal is possible.

Shapiro's remarks also echo the caution voiced by Israeli Ambassador to the UN Danny Danon, who said the administration's eagerness to conclude talks allowed Iran to improve its position, and that the emerging framework was "very bad for Israel."

No additional details on the basis for Shapiro's assessment were provided in the relayed report, and his comments remain a single-source attribution at this stage.

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