In a detailed analysis published Saturday, Dr. Doron Matza of the 301 platform argues that Iran has secured victory in the ongoing conflict, the US has lost its deterrent power, and Israel faces a new strategic threat from both a military axis (Iran and Turkey) and a US-backed political project for Palestinian, Lebanese, and Syrian statehood at Israel's expense.
In a situation report published Saturday, Dr. Doron Matza of the 301 analysis platform assesses that Iran is the clear winner of the post-Operation Roaring Lion conflict. The US, he argues, has lost its regional deterrent power, and Israel faces a new dual threat: a military axis of Iran and Turkey, and a US-backed political project advancing Palestinian, Lebanese, and Syrian statehood at Israel's expense.
This analysis extends Matza's previous assessments. As The Zioneer reported on June 22, he argued that Iran was winning the diplomatic war and driving a wedge between Israel and the US. On July 18, he stated that the US seeks negotiations, not regime change. On July 21, he warned of a war of attrition favoring Iran. The new piece synthesizes these themes into a broader strategic picture, warning that the US has been sidelined and that Iran is shaping the new Middle East order.
Matza identifies the core failure as the original goal of Operation Roaring Lion — regime change in Iran — which was not achieved. He notes that the US has lost standing with regional powers and that the emerging tripartite alliance of Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, and Turkey reflects a shift away from American influence. The analysis concludes that Israel faces a strategic threat from both the military axis and the political project, with the US as a weak link in both.
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