In a lengthy post, Abu Saleh argued that the war with Iran is not over, contradicting claims of victory, and that Iran still possesses thousands of long-range ballistic missiles and tens of thousands of suicide drones. He dismissed ongoing ceasefire talks as a stalling tactic aimed at delaying until after the US midterm elections, and predicted a major strike on Iran before or after November.
Middle East analyst Abu Saleh published a lengthy assessment Monday evening arguing that the ongoing conflict with Iran is far from over, directly contradicting narratives of victory. He claimed that Iran still possesses 'thousands of long-range ballistic missiles' and 'tens of thousands of suicide drones,' and that the current lull is a tactical pause driven by 'cold knees' rather than a strategic defeat.
The post comes as the Trump administration has repeatedly stated that Iran's military capabilities have been severely degraded. On June 8, President Trump said in an NBC interview that Iran retains only 22% of its missile stockpile (The Zioneer, June 8). Last week, Trump warned of 'hard daily strikes' if negotiations fail (The Zioneer, June 10). Abu Saleh dismissed these claims as 'brainwashing' and argued that the stalling is aimed at delaying any decisive action until after the US midterm elections in November.
Abu Saleh's analysis is a single-source opinion from the source focused on Middle Eastern affairs. It has not been independently verified, and official Israeli or US sources have not commented on the specific claims. The analyst predicted a major strike on Iran before or after November, but stressed that the fundamental dynamics remain unchanged.
- DevelopingCommentator claims he was right to warn against Trump's Iran deal, insists nuclear program remains intact
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- DevelopingAbu Salah: Trump's aides are amateurs, war with Iran has only begun
- DevelopingIranian analyst claims Iran remains in a 'state of war', recent understandings not a real end
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