An assessment warns that Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan's chance to secure F-35 fighter jets is limited to the current Trump administration, as the likelihood of a deal with any future U.S. president is low. The analysis, published Monday, suggests the deal is becoming more realistic.
An analysis published Monday afternoon warns that Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan's window to secure F-35 fighter jets from the United States is limited to the current Trump administration, as the deal appears increasingly realistic. The assessment comes hours after Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu publicly opposed the sale, saying at 14:38 Jerusalem that Turkey does not deserve F-35s and that Erdogan threatens Israel's existence.
The analysis follows a series of Trump signals in recent weeks. On June 25, Trump indicated he would likely approve the sale, and Vice President Vance said a legal review is needed. The Trump administration has pushed forward despite congressional criticism, with a June 25 report assessing the chances of blocking the deal as slim. The analysis notes that no other U.S. president would likely offer Turkey such a concession.
The assessment is based on the current political alignment in Washington. It does not provide a timeline, and it remains unclear whether Congress will attempt to block the sale.
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