An analysis by researcher A. published on The Zioneer argues that Tehran is deliberately avoiding a direct clash with Israel at this stage, instead systematically degrading U.S. and regional air defense systems in the Gulf to leave Israel isolated in a future existential campaign. The piece draws parallels to Hezbollah's battlefield tactics and warns that Israel may lose its regional defensive layers before the next direct confrontation.
The analysis, published on The Zioneer on Tuesday, assesses that Iran's current restraint toward Israel is not a sign of deterrence but a calculated strategic move. The piece distinguishes between the ongoing tactical campaign against U.S. and Gulf assets and a future existential confrontation with Israel. It warns that Iran is systematically degrading radar stations, U.S. interceptor batteries, and early-warning systems across the region, citing recent footage of struggling American air defense systems and hypersonic missile strikes. The analysis draws on JCPA studies by Brig. Gen. (res.) Yossi Kuperwasser describing Hezbollah's method of blinding IDF observation systems. According to the analyst, Israel may find itself in a future campaign with its regional defense envelope severely eroded.
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