In a post published early Wednesday, Aviv argues that the US is locked in a war of attrition with Iran that favors Tehran, and that President Trump must decide between withdrawal or all-out war to topple the regime.
Chananel Aviv, an Israeli analyst, published an assessment early Wednesday warning that the United States is being drawn into an unwinnable war of attrition against Iran. Aviv argues that despite weeks of U.S. strikes on Iranian targets in southern Iran, Tehran has not been deterred and is instead expanding the conflict, including by launching missiles and drones around the clock around the Strait of Hormuz. He writes that the U.S. has suffered four soldiers killed over the weekend but has not escalated beyond the strikes already seen in recent weeks. In his view, the current approach only weakens the U.S. tactically without changing the strategic reality, and Iran feels it has the upper hand.
Aviv says President Trump must choose between two options: de-escalate and end the campaign, or launch an all-out war that includes strikes on energy infrastructure and a ground invasion aimed at regime change. Anything in between, he warns, will drag the U.S. into an endless war of attrition.
The analysis comes as the U.S.-Iran military confrontation continues, with the U.S. having conducted eight consecutive nights of strikes, as The Zioneer reported. Aviv's assessment joins a growing body of Israeli analysis, including a recent piece by Dr. Doron Matza on the 301 platform, as The Zioneer reported, warning that the US is stuck in a war of attrition that favors Iran.
- Developing301 analyst Dr. Doron Matza: Iran winning the time game, US stuck in endless war of attrition
- DevelopingAnalyst Chananel Aviv urges Trump to strike Iranian bridges, power plants tonight
- DevelopingBen Yaniv: US used Israel in campaign, now expects silence on Iran deal
- DevelopingIranian analyst warns Tehran is using threats to pressure Trump into aligning against Israel
Source and signal
A single-sourced dispatch is never rated Confirmed or Strong. Its Signal strengthens only when a second, independent source corroborates it.
- Internal intake