Security commentator Yair Goldblatt argues that Iran's decision not to fire missiles at Israel, despite escalating rhetoric against the US and closing the Strait of Hormuz, stems from Israeli deterrence — not American pressure. He claims Israel has demonstrated it means what it says, while US credibility has been undermined by repeated reversals.
Security and Middle East commentator Yair Goldblatt published an analysis on X arguing that Iran's refusal to fire missiles at Israel, despite escalating its confrontation with the United States — including closing the Strait of Hormuz and striking US bases in the Middle East — is evidence of Israeli deterrence, not American pressure.
Goldblatt contends that unlike the US, Israel has consistently followed through on its threats, demonstrating credibility that Iran takes seriously. He claims Iran understands that any launch toward Israel would trigger a response that even the US could not stop, and that Tehran does not want to enter that confrontation.
The analysis comes amid a broader debate among Israeli commentators about the state of deterrence. As The Zioneer has reported, several analysts have assessed that Iran has shelved planned retaliation against Israel under cover of diplomatic deals and US pressure, while others argue that Iran's avoidance of direct attacks on Israel reflects Israeli deterrence specifically. Goldblatt's piece aligns with the latter view, asserting that American deterrence has been severely damaged while Israeli deterrence remains intact.
The claim is a single-source opinion piece and has not been independently verified.
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A single-sourced dispatch is never rated Confirmed or Strong. Its Signal strengthens only when a second, independent source corroborates it.
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