Sogand Fakhri, an Iran analyst at the Jerusalem Center for Foreign and Security Affairs (JCFA), assesses that the Iranian regime refrains from a direct confrontation with the US and Israel due to its understanding of the strength of their cooperation. She says the most effective way to weaken the regime is to cut off funding, as the regime's mechanisms rely on economic incentives.
Sogand Fakhri, an Iran analyst at the Jerusalem Center for Foreign and Security Affairs (JCFA), assesses that the Iranian regime is deliberately avoiding a full-scale war with the United States and Israel, primarily because it understands the depth of US-Israeli military cooperation. According to Fakhri, if the regime truly wanted a broad war, it would have already attacked. Instead, Tehran continues to brandish threats externally while acting cautiously to avoid escalation that could endanger the regime's survival.
Fakhri argues that the key to changing the regime lies within Iran itself. She highlights the gap between the Iranian people and the regime, noting that the regime's apparatus relies on hundreds of thousands of employees and supporters who are motivated mainly by economic incentives. Cutting off funding, she says, could cause many of them to turn their weapons against the regime.
The analysis comes as Israeli intelligence has repeatedly warned that Iran is seeking to stall on nuclear talks while rebuilding terror infrastructure in Judea and Samaria, as The Zioneer has reported. The assessment echoes concerns that Tehran is prioritizing regime preservation over direct confrontation.
- DevelopingIRGC-affiliated analyst warns Tehran understands it cannot fight Israel without US involvement
- DevelopingAnalysis: US restraint lets Iran 'lie low,' but attrition strategy could pressure regime
- DevelopingIran expert: Regime's failure to attack Israel shows 'tremendous fear' of Israeli response
- StrongIsraeli analyst warns US weakness emboldens Iran, urges strength over diplomacy
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