Dr. Doron Matza of the 301 analysis platform assesses that Israel's decision to sit out the current US-Iran kinetic campaign is correct, and that any Israeli military entry should be aimed at toppling the Iranian regime. He warns that the US may eventually abandon the effort if it does not change its operational concept and target economic infrastructure in Tehran, which he argues would be the ideal outcome for Israel.
Dr. Doron Matza of the 301 analysis platform published a situation assessment on Sunday morning, July 19, outlining his view of the ongoing US-Iran confrontation. Matza assesses that the US strikes on Iran have not changed the fundamental picture, and that negotiations remain the top priority for Washington. He argues that Israel's current posture of preparing for escalation while remaining on the sidelines is a good decision. The ideal outcome from Israel's perspective, he writes, would be a US shift to targeting economic and infrastructure assets in Tehran, which could affect the regime's survival capacity. If Israel eventually enters the fray, Matza states, the central goal should be regime survival, not limited tactical strikes. He also cautions that the US may eventually abandon the effort if it does not change its operational concept, noting that the US has done so before.
As The Zioneer has reported, Matza has consistently assessed over recent weeks that the US strikes have not altered the strategic landscape and that Washington's priority remains a return to negotiations. This latest assessment reaffirms those themes while adding a specific prescription for Israel's optimal role.
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- Developing301 analyst Matza: US-Iran mini-blitz over, negotiations resume, Israel unlikely to strike Tehran soon
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