Researcher Ella Rosenberg of the Jerusalem Center for Foreign and Security Affairs (JCFA) argues in a new article that Iran has developed a hybrid strategy pairing military attrition via Hezbollah with economic coercion through the threat to shipping and energy in the Strait of Hormuz, designed to erode Israel over time while pressuring Western energy markets.
Researcher Ella Rosenberg, a fellow at the Jerusalem Center for Foreign and Security Affairs (JCFA), published an assessment arguing that Iran has shifted to a "new equation" linking military pressure with economic warfare. She contends that Hezbollah serves as the military attrition arm while the Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly 20% of globally traded oil passes, functions as the economic lever aimed at Western energy markets. The strategy, she writes, is not designed for a swift military victory but for prolonged erosion of Israel while simultaneously creating pressure on the West. Rosenberg recommends sustained targeted sanctions on Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, its financing networks, and entities involved in Iranian maritime and logistical activity. As The Zioneer reported earlier today, analyst Chananel Aviv assessed that Hezbollah is breaching deterrence under Iranian direction ahead of a potential US-Iran deal.
- DevelopingAnalyst: Hezbollah emboldened by Iran to breach deterrence equation ahead of US deal
- StrongAmit Segal maps deterrence chain: Hezbollah-Israel-Iran escalation equations
- DevelopingHezbollah fires again at Israel, mocking 'Dahieh equation' — analyst assesses
- DevelopingCommentator Goldblatt: double blockade on Strait of Hormuz reflects Iranian strategic exhaustion
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