Analyst Hananel Aviv argues that Turkey is facilitating a rapprochement between Hezbollah and the Syrian regime of Ahmad al-Sharaa (al-Julani), with the shared goal of amassing influence and preparing for a unified fight against Israel. He asserts that relying on al-Julani to prevent Iranian arms transfers to Hezbollah via Syria is a dangerous illusion.
In a Telegram post on Monday evening, analyst Hananel Aviv outlined a developing alignment between Hezbollah and the Syrian regime under President Ahmad al-Sharaa (al-Julani), brokered by Turkey. According to Aviv, Turkey's efforts aim to normalize relations between the regime and the Iran-backed terror organization, despite previous hostility, in order to unite anti-Israel forces under a shared goal. Aviv argues that the common enemy—Israel—outweighs past enmity, making the Syrian regime a potential conduit for Iranian weapons transfers to Hezbollah. He dismisses as wishful thinking any expectation that al-Julani would block such arms flows through Syria. The assessment echoes previous coverage by The Zioneer: in June, Hezbollah issued threats against Syrian-aligned elements after a reported US proposal to deploy forces loyal to al-Julani into Lebanon. The current analysis suggests the threat environment is shifting, with Turkey playing an active role in reconfiguring the regional chessboard against Israeli interests.
- DevelopingTurkey promotes Syria-Hezbollah meeting, offers economic and military partnership for force in Lebanon — reports
- DevelopingHezbollah issues threats against Syrian-aligned forces amid US proposal to bring Al-Julani's army into Lebanon
- DevelopingAnalysis: Syrian President al-Julani preparing for war after tactical concessions, analyst warns
- DevelopingReport: Israel fears Al-Julani’s forces could try to seize territory in Lebanon
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