Oded Eilam, former head of the Mossad's counter-terror division, told Kan Bet that Iran has no interest in attacking Israel at this stage, as the current campaign centers on the Strait of Hormuz. He assessed that both the US and Iran are pursuing controlled escalation, not all-out war, and that the Pentagon has not presented Trump with a clear plan to reopen the strait.
The assessment from Oded Eilam, a former senior Mossad official, comes as the US and Iran continue to exchange strikes in the Strait of Hormuz region, with the US maintaining a military presence to keep shipping lanes open. The Zioneer has reported on the evolving crisis since June, including the US Energy Secretary's acknowledgment that the strait remains closed and Trump's declaration of an end to the ceasefire. Eilam's analysis suggests that Tehran views the current confrontation as a battle over maritime tolls rather than a direct nuclear confrontation, and that the Pentagon's lack of a clear military plan for the strait has pushed Trump toward parallel diplomatic efforts. The remarks add to a growing body of Israeli security assessments questioning the likelihood of a direct Iran-Israel clash in the near term.
2 developments
- StrongFormer Mossad Official: Iran Avoids Attacking Israel Because It Knows Israel Awaits an Excuse
- DevelopingFormer Mossad official argues Iran sees Trump as predictable, exploits talks
- StrongFormer Mossad official: US negotiating with Iran under rules that don't exist in the Middle East
- DevelopingIsrael stays out of US-Iran conflict, seeing it as acceptable for now, Times of Israel reports
Source and signal
- Open-source intake