A Gulf source told CNN on Wednesday that there is a 50/50 chance of a deal being signed by Friday, but the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) — which is not represented in the Iranian negotiating team — must still give its consent.
An unnamed Gulf source told CNN on Wednesday that the odds of a US-Iran agreement being signed by Friday are roughly 50/50, but stressed that the IRGC's consent remains a necessary condition and that the Revolutionary Guards are not represented in the Iranian negotiating team. The assessment underscores the persistent internal friction between Iran's diplomatic track — led by Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi — and the IRGC, which controls Iran's maritime security and has historically opposed compromise frameworks. As The Zioneer has reported, the IRGC has rejected previous diplomatic overtures on the Strait of Hormuz and has been a key obstacle to finalizing a memorandum of understanding. The source's statement is a single, unattributed assessment and does not reflect official confirmation from either Washington or Tehran.
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Source and signal
A single-sourced dispatch is never rated Confirmed or Strong. Its Signal strengthens only when a second, independent source corroborates it.
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