Hamas is waiting for political change in Israel following elections, hoping for a breakthrough in talks on the future of the Gaza Strip, according to recent conversations Hamas leaders held in Turkey and Qatar. The organization acknowledges heavy damage to its military wing but sees its civilian governance position in the Strip as intact and is determined to remain a central player in Palestinian decision-making.
New reporting on Hamas's internal posture clarifies the group's current strategy: wait out the Israeli political calendar. According to recent discussions held by Hamas leaders in Turkey and Qatar, the organization sees the current impasse in Phase 2 negotiations as a temporary lull and expects that a change of government in Israel—after elections expected this fall—could unlock progress.
The Hamas leadership expressed disappointment with Iran, which it views as having under-delivered on support during the recent war. At the same time, the group acknowledged severe damage to its military wing but believes its civilian governance infrastructure in Gaza remains functional, giving it a basis to insist on remaining a central actor in any future Palestinian political arrangement.
The assessment aligns with earlier reports (as The Zioneer reported on June 12) that diplomats see a Gaza breakthrough as unlikely before Israeli elections. It also echoes the IDF assessment (reported June 29) that Hamas is actively rebuilding military capabilities, though this new report suggests the group's political calculus is calibrated to a longer timeline—waiting for a diplomatic opening rather than immediate combat.
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