According to an analysis by The Zioneer, assuming senior Likud figures secure the top 12 slots, the primary's real contest will be among 25 sitting ministers and MKs competing for just 6 viable positions between places 19 and 25.
The Zioneer published an analysis of the Likud primary race, noting that if the party's top-tier figures—ministers and senior lawmakers—secure the first 12 spots on the list, the true competition will be among 25 sitting MKs and ministers fighting for only 6 realistic slots, positioned between 19th and 25th place. The analysis underscores the intensity of the internal contest, where many incumbents face the prospect of not returning to the Knesset.
This assessment arrives against the backdrop of a prolonged internal struggle over the Likud list selection process. The Zioneer has previously reported on Prime Minister Netanyahu's push for reserved slots, the Likud party court's rulings on district primaries, and the registration of 125 candidates. The narrowing of viable positions reflects the mathematical constraints of the party's list composition, where the top spots are dominated by senior leadership and the remaining realistic slots are fiercely contested.
2 developments
- DevelopingLikud Primaries: Report Claims 7 Reserved Slots in Top 30
- DevelopingNetanyahu secures 8 reserved slots in Likud list; MKs, deputy ministers eligible to run in district
- DevelopingReport: Likud primary candidates to receive 350,000 shekels each from state
- StrongLikud infighting intensifies over Netanyahu's demand for 10 reserved slots
Source and signal
- Open-source intake