A new Channel 12 poll broadcast Monday evening shows the pro-Netanyahu bloc losing a seat to 51. Opposition MK Gadi Eisenkot's party leads by one seat, while Naftali Bennett's party stabilizes. Hili Tropper and Yoaz Hendel's parties remain below the electoral threshold despite being close, according to the survey. In a separate scenario, if all small parties including those of Gilad Ardan, Ayelet Shaked, and Yuli Edelstein run, none would cross the threshold.
A Channel 12 poll broadcast Monday evening registered a slight shift in the Israeli political landscape. The pro-Netanyahu bloc fell to 51 seats, dropping one seat from the previous survey. Opposition MK Gadi Eisenkot's party took a one-seat lead, while Naftali Bennett's party held steady. The parties of Hili Tropper and Yoaz Hendel remained just below the electoral threshold.
The poll is the latest in a series of surveys this month tracking rapid changes. As The Zioneer reported, a June 11 Channel 12 poll showed Eisenkot tying Bennett at 20 seats each; a June 29 poll showed Eisenkot leading by five seats. The current results suggest Eisenkot's lead has narrowed, while Bennett has stabilized. The small parties' failure to cross the threshold underscores the fragmentation of the center-right and right-wing blocs, with Gilad Ardan, Ayelet Shaked, and Yuli Edelstein all failing to break through in the scenario tested.
The results also highlight the continued volatility of the threshold dynamics. The bloc breakdown remains close, and the outcome of the next election could hinge on which small parties clear the 3.25% threshold.
3 developments
- StrongN12 poll: Eisenkot extends lead over Bennett to 5 seats, Likud rises to 24
- DevelopingEisenkot opens 9-point gap in PM suitability index, poll shows
- DevelopingPoll: Eisenkot ties Netanyahu, Bennett loses another seat
- DevelopingKan News poll: Eisenkot gains seat, Smotrich rises to 5, Tropper fails threshold, Netanyahu bloc 52
Source and signal
- Internal intake