New prediction-market data posted on Telegram show Naftali Bennett's odds of becoming prime minister have fallen to 15%, while Gadi Eisenkot leads at 36% and Benjamin Netanyahu has narrowed the gap to 32%, according to the Polimarket platform.
Fresh figures from the Polimarket prediction platform, relayed via Telegram on Tuesday evening, show a dramatic shift in the race for prime minister’s office. Naftali Bennett has fallen to 15%, down from 21% in data published just a day earlier — a decline of six percentage points. Gadi Eisenkot maintains his lead at 36%, while Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu climbs to 32%, narrowing the gap from earlier in the week.
The previous Polimarket data, reported by The Zioneer on Monday, showed Bennett at 21% and Eisenkot near 40%. Tuesday’s figures suggest that Netanyahu’s standing has improved and that Bennett’s recent slide has accelerated. The weekly i24 survey, published Thursday, also recorded a sharp rightward shift, with Likud rising to 30 seats and Bennett’s party collapsing to 12.
The prediction-market odds are not formal polls and reflect wagering behavior rather than voter intention. No further breakdown or sample information was provided with the Telegram post.
2 developments
- StrongAmit Segal: Eisenkot overtakes Netanyahu in Polimarket betting odds
- DevelopingPatriots poll: 81% say Netanyahu would find it easier to face Bennett than Eisenkot
- StrongN12 poll: Eisenkot ties Bennett, both at 20 seats; Likud drops to 22
- Developingi24 poll shows dramatic shift: Bennett collapses to 12 seats, Likud rises to 30
Source and signal
A single-sourced dispatch is never rated Confirmed or Strong. Its Signal strengthens only when a second, independent source corroborates it.
- Internal intake