A poll analyst (Moez) says the merger between Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid has failed, portraying Bennett as a manipulator trying to force a union with Eisenkot from a weak position, and costing him right-wing voters. The assessment is based on a 7-day moving average of all polls since the alliance was formed.
Political analyst Moez posted a sharply negative assessment of the Bennett-Lapid alliance Friday morning, arguing the partnership has backfired. According to the analysis, the merger has not only failed to strengthen Bennett but has also cost him the right-wing voters who had seen him as a rightist marker on the joint ticket. Moez's data — a 7-day moving average of all published polls since Bennett and Lapid united — shows the electoral cost.
This assessment aligns with a growing body of coverage tracked by The Zioneer over the past week. Multiple polls and analyst columns have documented a sharp decline in Bennett's standing since his alliance with Lapid and strategist Lior Chorev, while former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot has surged. A Channel 14 poll on Thursday showed Bennett collapsing to single digits; a Channel 12 poll earlier this week had him tied with Eisenkot at 20 seats. The prediction market Polimarket now gives Bennett only a 15% chance of becoming prime minister, with Eisenkot leading at 36%.
The analyst's post is a single-source opinion, framed as a data-based critique. The core claim — that the alliance has eroded Bennett's right-wing base — is consistent with the broader polling trend the desk has reported, but the specific attribution of motive ('manipulator trying to force a union with Eisenkot') remains the analyst's personal assessment.
- DevelopingBennett associate: party's alliance with Lapid, Chorev is a 'political mistake'
- DevelopingAmit Segal: Bennett’s political high-wire act has run its course
- DevelopingFriction within Bennett's 'Yachad' party as polls drop, sources say
- StrongBennett tells i24NEWS: Lapid showed leadership, put ego aside in merger
Source and signal
A single-sourced dispatch is never rated Confirmed or Strong. Its Signal strengthens only when a second, independent source corroborates it.
- Internal intake