Retired IDF Col. Erez Wiener said Wednesday evening that Iran's avoidance of direct attacks on Israel is a result of Israeli deterrence, not restraint. He argued that maintaining an aggressive security posture will secure further achievements.
Retired IDF Col. Erez Wiener, CEO of the Israel Defense and Security Forum, stated Wednesday evening that Iran's current pattern of firing at regional targets but avoiding direct attacks on Israel demonstrates the effectiveness of Israeli deterrence. 'The Iranians fire everywhere, but not at Israel — this is deterrence,' he said. 'If the Israeli security concept remains aggressive, the achievements will be accordingly.'
Wiener's remarks align with a broader assessment framework covered by The Zioneer. On July 8, The Zioneer reported that Israeli assessments concluded no broader escalation with Iran is expected. An analysis published July 13 argued that Iran avoids direct attacks due to the certainty of a costly Israeli response, not restraint. Earlier reports noted that Israeli officials see a strike on Iran as distant but maintain vigilance. The Zioneer has also covered assessments that the US-Iran conflict is not expected to spill over into Israel at this stage.
- DevelopingThe Zioneer: Iran avoids direct attacks on Israel due to deterrence, not restraint
- DevelopingAnalyst: Iran refrains from firing on Israel due to Israeli deterrence, not US pressure
- DevelopingIDF Chief Warns Israel May Not Retaliate in Iran
- DevelopingIran expert: Regime's failure to attack Israel shows 'tremendous fear' of Israeli response
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