Security analyst Yair Goldblatt said on X that Israeli assessments indicate that if the US escalates strikes to target power plants, oil facilities, or senior Iranian officials, Iran would respond by launching fire toward Israeli territory. The assessment comes amid ongoing US strikes on Iranian targets.
Security analyst Yair Goldblatt posted on X on Tuesday evening, specifying that according to Israeli assessments, American strikes on more significant targets in Iran — power plants, oil facilities, or the elimination of senior officials — would trigger Iranian fire toward Israeli territory. The post did not cite a source or provide additional details. The assessment comes as the broader story of an Israeli security warning has been unfolding throughout Tuesday.
Earlier Tuesday at 19:47 Jerusalem, The Zioneer reported that an Israeli security assessment warned that the expected intensification of U.S. strikes on Iranian infrastructure and senior officials could lead to direct Iranian retaliation against Israel. The reporting, first carried by i24, noted that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu convened a six-hour security consultation, during which he spoke with Secretary of State Marco Rubio, and that U.S. Central Command had struck approximately 1,000 targets across Iran in the past ten days. That assessment was covered in a series of updates beginning at 19:57 Jerusalem.
Background reporting by The Zioneer has tracked the evolving situation. On Sunday, June 14, The Zioneer reported that the Israeli security establishment was monitoring a shift in Iranian posture and expected a direct strike from Iran. On Monday, July 20, Goldblatt himself had posted that the current U.S. strikes followed briefings that they would escalate. Additional analysis has noted that the U.S. strikes aim to clear the way for potential ground operations in southern Iran and to control the Strait of Hormuz.
What remains open: Goldblatt’s post did not specify the source of the Israeli assessment, nor did it provide details on the expected scale or timing of any Iranian retaliation. The broader assessment, while reported by multiple outlets, has not been officially confirmed by Israeli or U.S. authorities.
5 developments
- DevelopingYair Goldblatt: current US strikes on Iran follow briefings they would escalate
- DevelopingCommentator Yair Goldblatt questions whether Israel can strike Iran under immediate threat without US backing
- DevelopingAnalyst warns Iran may retaliate against Israel if US launches strikes tonight
- DevelopingAnalyst assesses Israel may again strike Iran alone, as in Operation Rising Lion
Source and signal
- Internal intake