Security analyst Yair Goldblatt said on X that Israel's joining the current US-Iran campaign is a fait accompli, and that Israel will seek to provoke an Iranian response through provocations in Lebanon and via the US, forcing Iran to fire at Israel. He assessed that Iran is waiting for the first to blink.
Security analyst Yair Goldblatt wrote on X on Wednesday evening that Israel's entry into the ongoing US campaign against Iran is a fait accompli, and that Israel will seek to provoke an Iranian retaliation through provocations in Lebanon and by coordinating with the US to deliver an 'excessive' strike in Iran. He argued that Iran is deliberately refraining from firing at Israel and waiting for the first side to blink.
The Zioneer has previously reported similar assessments from other analysts, including Amir Bohbot, who described a comprehensive regional campaign, and senior Israeli officials who told Channel 14 that Iran is still deliberating an attack and that the US may ask Israel to join the campaign. The current assessment adds a specific mechanism by which Israel might seek to trigger an Iranian response.
- StrongSecurity Analyst: Escalated US Strikes on Iran Would Trigger Iranian Retaliation Against Israel
- DevelopingYair Goldblatt: Israel watches with concern as Iran-US tensions escalate, IDF on high alert
- DevelopingCommentator Yair Goldblatt questions whether Israel can strike Iran under immediate threat without US backing
- DevelopingAnalysis: Goldblatt warns Israel against succumbing to US diplomatic pressure on Lebanon
Source and signal
A single-sourced dispatch is never rated Confirmed or Strong. Its Signal strengthens only when a second, independent source corroborates it.
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