Political commentator Shlomo Filber assesses that President Trump's minimal Iran agreement — keeping the Strait of Hormuz open and barring nuclear weapons — stems from an understanding reached with China during a Beijing visit, not from a shift in U.S. policy toward Israel. The analysis, published by reports, is an informed assessment, not verified information.
Political commentator Shlomo Filber published a detailed assessment arguing that the driving force behind President Trump's agreement with Iran is not a shift in U.S. policy toward Israel but rather a strategic understanding reached with China during Trump's visit to Beijing on May 13–15, 2026.
According to Filber, Trump entered the Beijing talks in a weaker position than planned. He had hoped to come as the victor over Iran and secure broad economic agreements, but encountered Chinese resistance and threats of escalation over Taiwan. The resulting joint statement was exceptionally brief, containing only two principles: the Strait of Hormuz must remain open, and Iran must not possess nuclear weapons — the exact same clauses now defining the Iran deal.
Filber theorizes that Trump settled for a simpler bargain: guaranteed oil flow in exchange for a non-nuclear Iran. This would explain Trump's pressure on Israel to lower its profile, the use of Qatari, Pakistani, and Saudi mediators, and the prominence of J.D. Vance, whom Iran and Pakistan reportedly trust more than other U.S. officials. The analysis emphasizes it is an informed interpretation, not verified information.
As The Zioneer reported earlier today (Monday 00:39 and 08:35), Trump has announced the completion of the Iran deal and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, with mine-clearing operations already underway. Filber suggests that if negotiations fail, Trump would leave Israel to handle Iran militarily, similar to the Gaza dynamic where Israel re-assumed control after the dismantling of the Kiryat Gat command structure.
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