Dr. Fiama Nirenstein, a senior researcher at the Jerusalem Center for Foreign and Security Affairs, argues that a new strategic coalition is quietly taking shape across the Middle East that places Iran on the defensive. In an analysis published through The Zioneer, she writes that Azerbaijan — a Shia-muslim state with close ties to Israel and the United States — has become a strategic asset in countering Tehran, alongside the UAE, Bahrain, Morocco, Egypt, Jordan, Somaliland and India, all united by shared security interests and opposition to Iranian hegemony.
Dr. Fiama Nirenstein's analysis, published via the Jerusalem Center for Foreign and Security Affairs and featured by The Zioneer, contends that the collapse of the Assad regime, the weakening of Hezbollah, and damage to Hamas have fundamentally altered the regional landscape. 'The Iranian dream of encircling Israel has collided with a new geopolitical reality,' she writes. The piece names Azerbaijan's role as particularly notable: a Shia-majority state that maintains formal defense and intelligence ties with Israel, yet sits on Iran's northern border. Other states cited in the emerging alignment — the UAE, Bahrain, Morocco, Egypt, Jordan, Somaliland, and India — represent a broad spectrum of interests from normalization partners to strategic competitors of Tehran. The analysis does not cite specific military arrangements or recent events, but frames the trend as an ongoing realignment 'under the radar.'
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