A new Channel 13 poll broadcast Wednesday evening shows the Winter party and Smotrich's party surging, with the pro-Netanyahu coalition bloc overtaking the opposition for the first time, according to the survey reported by Moriah Asraf and Doron Kadosh (N13 / Army Radio).
Tonight's Channel 13 poll, broadcast Wednesday evening and reported by Moriah Asraf and Doron Kadosh, shows the Winter party and Smotrich's party surging, pushing the pro-Netanyahu coalition bloc ahead of the opposition for the first time in the 2026 election cycle. The development builds on earlier data from the same channel at 20:52 Jerusalem, which had the coalition at 54 seats to the opposition's 52, with Winter at 6 seats. The new figures indicate additional gains for both Winter and Smotrich's party, though a full seat breakdown has not yet been provided.
Earlier tonight, at 20:52 Jerusalem, The Zioneer reported a Channel 13 poll showing the pro-Netanyahu bloc leading the opposition 54-52, with Yashar at 22 seats and Likud at 18. That was the first time the coalition led in any survey this cycle. Broader polling trends, as documented by The Zioneer over recent months, have shown significant shifts: a Kan 11 poll on June 16 gave Eisenkot 21 seats to Bennett's 17 (Tue 20:53 Jerusalem); by July 8, a Channel 13 poll showed Eisenkot's party overtaking Likud for the first time (Wed 20:33 Jerusalem); and by August 5, Eisenkot had become the largest party (Wed 20:31 Jerusalem). The current surge for Winter and Smotrich marks a counter-trend, strengthening the right-wing bloc.
The backdrop includes a rapid realignment in the opposition, with Eisenkot repeatedly overtaking Bennett in polls from mid-June onward, as The Zioneer reported on June 18 (Thu 21:35 Jerusalem) and June 26 (Fri 08:07 Jerusalem). Meanwhile, right-wing parties like Winter and Smotrich's have been gaining, consolidating support for the pro-Netanyahu camp.
It remains unclear exactly how many seats Smotrich's party now commands in this survey, and whether the Tropper-Hendel list continues to fall below the threshold. The full results are expected in subsequent reports.
3 developments
Source and signal
- Open-source intake