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Jerusalem Center analysis warns Turkey is emerging as a growing strategic threat to Israel and NATO

The Zioneer Intelligence Desk
Jerusalem Center analysis warns Turkey is emerging as a growing strategic threat to Israel and NATO

Primary source Internal intake · 1 reviewed intake signal · Desk window 18:31

TL;DR

Dr. Dan Diker, president of the Jerusalem Center for Foreign and Security Affairs, warns in a new analysis that Turkey under Erdogan poses a growing strategic challenge to Israel, NATO, and the West. Diker cites Ankara's neo-Ottoman ambitions, ties to Hamas, and aggressive regional policy as requiring a reassessment of relations.

01 · THE DISPATCH

The Jerusalem Center for Foreign and Security Affairs published an analysis by its president, Dr. Dan Diker, warning that Turkey under President Recep Tayyip Erdogan is becoming a growing strategic challenge for Israel, NATO, and the West. Diker argues that Ankara's combination of neo-Ottoman ambitions, ties to Hamas, and aggressive regional policy requires a reassessment of relations with Turkey.

"Turkey is not just a NATO ally," Diker writes. "Its actions increasingly reflect the conduct of a rogue state that enjoys Western legitimacy." He adds that as long as Iran and Turkey continue to advance interests that undermine regional stability, the West must adapt its security perception to the new reality.

The analysis follows a series of recent developments that have heightened Israeli concerns about Turkey's regional role. As The Zioneer has reported, Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan's recent antisemitic remarks were seen in Jerusalem as underscoring Ankara's trajectory as a long-term strategic threat, prompting shifts in Israeli naval force-building and efforts to prevent the sale of F-35 fighter jets to Turkey. The analysis also comes amid warming U.S.-Turkey relations, including a Trump-Erdogan meeting that stoked Israeli concerns over Turkish military buildup on the Syrian frontier.

The Jerusalem Center's analysis does not provide specific policy recommendations but frames the issue as a structural challenge requiring Western strategic adaptation.

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