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Kan 11 poll: Eisenkot surges past Bennett for first time, 21 vs 17 seats

The Zioneer Intelligence Desk
Kan 11 poll: Eisenkot surges past Bennett for first time, 21 vs 17 seats

Primary source Internal intake · 4 reviewed intake signals · Desk window 20:53

TL;DR

A new Kan 11 poll by the Kantar Institute shows Gadi Eisenkot's Yesh Atid-like new party rising from 17 to 21 seats, overtaking Naftali Bennett's party for the first time as Bennett drops six seats to 17. The Likud-led coalition bloc falls to 52 seats, while the opposition bloc reaches 57, according to the survey published Tuesday evening.

01 · THE DISPATCH

Tuesday evening's Kan 11 poll, published at 20:27 Jerusalem, shows Gadi Eisenkot surging to 21 seats while Naftali Bennett drops to 17 — the first time Eisenkot has overtaken Bennett in a Kan survey. The right-wing coalition bloc falls to 52 seats, and the opposition bloc reaches 57.

This is the third Kan 11 poll in a single evening, all published at 20:27 Jerusalem. The first showed Eisenkot leading Bennett by four seats (Eisenkot rising four, Bennett dropping six). The second, reported by Amit Segal, showed Eisenkot gaining one seat and Bennett losing two over five days. The third and latest widens Eisenkot's lead to four seats again, with Bennett at his weakest since returning to politics. Credibility has strengthened across the thread as Kan's Kantar Institute data has been consistent with other outlets: an i24 poll on Thursday showed Bennett collapsing to 12 and Eisenkot at 17, and an N12 poll on June 11 had Eisenkot tying Bennett at 20.

As The Zioneer reported earlier Tuesday (22:03), prediction-market odds already showed Eisenkot nearing 40% as Bennett sank to 21%, and on Sunday (08:16), Amit Segal reported Eisenkot overtaking Netanyahu in Polimarket odds. The broader context includes a string of snap polls published after June 11 that showed the right-wing bloc losing ground, as well as an N12 poll on June 11 that had Eisenkot tying Bennett at 20 seats while Likud dropped to 22. Eisenkot's rise has been attributed by some analysts to a realignment in opposition expectations and voters' response to recent national security developments.

The full survey data has been published by Kan 11. No further breakdowns or crosstabs have been independently verified by The Zioneer.

02 · How it developed

4 developments

  1. Latest

    Eisenkot reaches 21 seats while Bennett drops to 17 in new survey

  2. Eisenkot leads by four seats; right-wing bloc loses one seat.

  3. Eisenkot gains one seat while Bennett loses two over five days

Related dispatches
03 · Source and signal

Source and signal

  • Internal intake
Desk accountability

This dispatch is published under The Zioneer Intelligence Desk. Raw intake channels remain internal provenance; an external outlet or channel is named only when it materially helps readers evaluate a specific claim.