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New i24 poll: Likud leads with 27 seats, Eisenkot at 20, Bennett and Lapid tie at 11

The Zioneer Intelligence Desk
New i24 poll: Likud leads with 27 seats, Eisenkot at 20, Bennett and Lapid tie at 11

Primary source Internal intake · 1 reviewed intake signal · Desk window 07:32

TL;DR

A new Direct Polls survey published by i24 on Friday morning shows Likud leading with 27 seats, Gadi Eisenkot's party rising to 20, while Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid tie at 11 each. The survey also tests a scenario in which Netanyahu runs on a separate party from Likud in the wake of the Likud primaries controversy — his independent list would win 24 seats, while Likud itself would drop to 7.

01 · THE DISPATCH

A new Direct Polls survey commissioned by i24, published Friday morning, tracks a continued rightward drift in the Israeli political map. Likud leads with 27 seats (down slightly from 30 in an earlier i24 poll on June 11). Gadi Eisenkot's party holds at 20, while Naftali Bennett's party has fallen sharply to 11 seats — reflecting a dramatic collapse from the 12–20 range seen across recent polls over the past two weeks. Bennett now ties with Yair Lapid's Yesh Atid, also at 11. Yisrael Beytenu stands at 10 seats, the Democrats at 10, Shas at 9, Otzma Yehudit at 8, United Torah Judaism at 8, the Joint Arab List at 7, Religious Zionism at 5, and Ra'am at 5.

The survey also includes a contingency scenario: should Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu leave Likud and run on an independent party in the wake of the Likud primaries controversy, his independent list would take 24 seats, while Likud would collapse to 7. The scenario reflects internal turbulence in Likud following disputes over candidate slate selection, though its practical basis remains speculative at this stage.

The poll adds to a wave of recent surveys — including by Kan 11, N12, Channel 13, and Channel 14 over the past two weeks — that have shown opposition leader Naftali Bennett's support eroding steadily while former IDF chief of staff Gadi Eisenkot's party gains ground. As The Zioneer previously reported, Eisenkot had overtaken Bennett in multiple polls by mid-June (Kan 11, June 16; Channel 13, June 17; Channel 14, June 18). The gap now appears to be widening.

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This dispatch is published under The Zioneer Intelligence Desk. Raw intake channels remain internal provenance; an external outlet or channel is named only when it materially helps readers evaluate a specific claim.