A high threat of a combined drone and missile strike by Russia toward Ukraine over the next 24 hours, including the possible launch of an Oreshnik IRBM, was reported. The attack is expected to target Ukrainian defense industries, according to the source. Communication between Russian strategic bomber command and control frequencies has been detected, though combat frequencies are not yet active.
A single-source report warns of a high probability of a Russian combined drone and missile attack on Ukraine within the next 24 hours, including the threat of an Oreshnik intermediate-range ballistic missile launch. The expected targets are Ukrainian defense industries.
As The Zioneer reported at 18:28 Jerusalem, the Ukrainian Air Force earlier issued a similar warning of an Oreshnik launch from Kapustin Yar within the same window. The current report adds the prospect of a broader combined strike and notes strategic bomber command-and-control communications, while affirming that combat frequencies have not yet been activated.
A previous Oreshnik test launch was reported on June 11, and the pattern of intercontinental-range threats from the Kapustin Yar complex has been tracked by the desk. The single-source nature of this alert means corroboration is pending; the threat assessment remains at the warning stage.
3 developments
Source and signal
A single-sourced dispatch is never rated Confirmed or Strong. Its Signal strengthens only when a second, independent source corroborates it.
- Open-source intake