Data from the security establishment reviewed by The Zioneer shows 660 nationalist crime incidents in Judea and Samaria in the first half of 2026, a 60% increase from 405 in the second half of 2025. This contradicts IDF Spokesperson Brig. Gen. Effie Defrin's recent claim of a 'significant and unequivocal drop' in such incidents. Attacks on security forces and Palestinian casualties also rose sharply, according to the data.
Data reviewed by The Zioneer from the security establishment shows a sharp increase in nationalist crime incidents in Judea and Samaria, contradicting the assessment given by IDF Spokesperson Brig. Gen. Effie Defrin last week. Defrin said in a podcast hosted by Nadav Perry that there had been a 'significant and unequivocal drop' in such incidents, repeating the claim three times despite the interviewer's surprise. However, the security establishment's own figures tell a different story.
The data shows 660 incidents in the first half of 2026, compared to 405 in the second half of 2025 — a jump of approximately 60%. This continues an upward trend from 440 in the first half of 2025, 355 in the second half of 2024, and 316 in the first half of 2024. Other metrics also show increases: attacks on security forces rose from 30 to 45 in the last six months, Palestinian wounded rose from 82 to 140, and the number of Palestinian fatalities is significantly higher than previous half-year periods. Monthly checks from March to June show stable, high numbers with no sign of a decline.
The data raises questions about the accuracy of public statements by senior IDF officials regarding the security situation in Judea and Samaria. The Zioneer has not independently verified the figures, but the data is presented as official security establishment statistics.
- DevelopingIDF office clarifies: nationalist violence down in recent months, up over two years
- DevelopingJudea and Samaria Division Commander: Terror incidents down from 850 to 60 in two years
- DevelopingPM's Office: Nationalist crime in Judea and Samaria is a 'serious phenomenon' by a small fringe
- DevelopingReligious Jewish recruits lead IDF combat service, new FOIA data shows
Source and signal
A single-sourced dispatch is never rated Confirmed or Strong. Its Signal strengthens only when a second, independent source corroborates it.
- Open-source intake