A senior US official told reporters on a conference call that Washington expects a deal with Iran to be signed in the coming days, estimating an 85% probability. The official said the US feels "very good" about the agreement and is "very close" to the finish line, but declined to say it is 100% certain, according to journalist Barak Ravid.
A senior US official has offered the most specific probability assessment yet for a US-Iran deal, telling reporters on a background call that the agreement is expected to be signed in the coming days with an 85% likelihood. The official stopped short of 100% certainty, but said Washington feels "very good" about the accord and is close to the finish line. The assessment, cited by journalist Barak Ravid (N12), comes amid weeks of conflicting signals: last week, US Vice President JD Vance said a deal could be signed within days or take months. Iranian state media Fars News recently reported that Tehran was leaning toward approval, while an unidentified Pakistani source told Al-Hadath the two sides remain far apart. A separate US official had previously suggested a signing ceremony could take place in Switzerland as early as Sunday, though that deadline passed without a deal. The new 85% estimate places the administration's confidence above previous guarded assessments but below the certainty that would trigger formal signatures. No specific venue or exact date was given in this latest briefing.
2 developments
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- DevelopingIsrael concerned Trump may settle for diluted uranium, not removal
- StrongTrump promises nuclear deal with Iran; uranium to be exported, funds limited to humanitarian aid
- DevelopingIsrael Hayom: US official details five principles of emerging Iran nuclear deal
Source and signal
- Open-source intake