Three snap polls published Thursday morning by Channels 11, 12, and 13 indicate the Likud-led right-wing bloc would lose its parliamentary majority if elections were held today. The surveys were conducted after Wednesday's rescue of four hostages from Nuseirat. Both Benny Gantz's National Unity party and Avigdor Lieberman's Yisrael Beiteinu gain seats, according to the polls. The findings are not yet corroborated by a full-state survey.
Three separate snap polls published by Israel's major broadcasters this morning show a measurable shift in voter sentiment following Wednesday's hostage rescue operation in Nuseirat. Channels 11 (Kan), 12 (N12), and 13 (Reshet 13) each released surveys indicating the right-wing bloc — Likud, Religious Zionism, Shas, and UTJ — would fall short of the 61-seat majority required to form a governing coalition. The margins vary: one poll gives the bloc 58 seats; another 59; a third shows it hovering at 60. The National Unity party under Benny Gantz picks up between 4–6 seats across the three polls, while Yisrael Beiteinu gains 2–3. The rescue — in which four hostages were freed alive from Hamas captivity in central Gaza — received broad public support across the political spectrum overnight, but the polling data suggests the operational success has not yet translated into a political bounce for the prime minister and his coalition partners. The surveys have a stated margin of error of 3.2%–4.1%, well within the range where a single survey cannot decisively predict an election outcome. As The Zioneer reported at 02:15 Jerusalem, Channel 12's political commentator noted that such snap polls often overstate short-term swings. For now, the trend is real but the magnitude is not yet locked in.
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