A comparison by The Zioneer of recent polls likely from Kan 11, Channel 14, and Channel 12 reveals a 12‑point gap for Netanyahu (52 to 64) and a 13‑point gap for the combined opposition figures of Eisenkot and Bennett (44 to 57). The metric (seats, suitability, or other) is not specified, but the variance is notable.
The Zioneer Intelligence Desk has released a brief comparison of three major Israeli polls, revealing a notable variance in reported figures for Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and combined opposition leaders Gadi Eisenkot and Naftali Bennett. The analysis, published shortly after the desk's compilation of six channel polls Wednesday night, shows Netanyahu ranging from 52 to 64 and Eisenkot/Bennett from 44 to 57 across surveys likely from Kan 11, Channel 14, and Channel 12. This 12-13 point gap underscores the volatility observed in the latest polling cycle.
The prior thread compilation (Wed 23:23 Jerusalem) had reported evening polls from six channels, with specific head-to-head seat projections: Channel 12 showed 57-52 in favor of Netanyahu, Channel 13 a 53-53 tie, Channel 14 a 44-64 spread, and Channel 11 a 52-52 tie. Those figures hinted at the wide dispersion now confirmed by the focused comparison. The Zioneer's current analysis does not specify which metric is used—seats, suitability, or another measure—but the variance aligns with the range observed in the earlier compilation, reinforcing the picture of a fluid electoral landscape.
As The Zioneer has previously reported, Eisenkot has overtaken Bennett in multiple polls over recent months, with Bennett's decline accelerating. Background items from the desk's archive show Eisenkot surging past Bennett for the first time in a Kan 11 poll (Tue Jun 16, 20:53 Jerusalem), and later polls tracking further shifts, including a Channel 14 survey in August that placed Bennett at 6 seats and the right-wing bloc at 63. The current combined range for Eisenkot and Bennett (44-57) reflects both Bennett's erosion and Eisenkot's relative strength, though the figures mask individual trajectories.
What remains open: The specific polls and metrics used in the The Zioneer comparison were not explicitly named in the analysis. Additionally, the direction of movement over time—whether the variance is narrowing or widening—remains unclear without further serial data. The Zioneer will continue to track and report on polling trends as new surveys are released.
2 developments
Source and signal
- Open-source intake