Middle East analyst Yoni Ben Menachem assessed that Iran refrains from attacking Israel because Israeli deterrence is very strong, and that President Trump has imposed an absolute veto on Israel taking action, leaving the arena to the Americans.
Middle East analyst Yoni Ben Menachem said Wednesday that Iran is refraining from attacking Israel because Israeli deterrence remains strong, and that President Donald Trump has imposed an absolute veto on Israeli military action, preferring to leave the arena to the Americans.
In a statement on his the source, Ben Menachem said: "The Iranians are not touching Israel because Israeli deterrence is very strong. They know the IDF is preparing a crushing blow. There is an absolute veto from President Trump on Israel not to do anything and to leave the arena to the Americans. He fears that if Israel attacks forcefully, it will re-ignite the Middle East into a regional war."
The assessment comes amid a backdrop of heightened US-Iran tensions. The Zioneer reported on June 14 that the United States had conveyed to Iran that Washington could not restrain Israel if Tehran attacked. On the same day, The Zioneer reported that Trump had asked Iran not to retaliate for a Beirut strike and was reportedly furious about an attack in central Lebanon.
Ben Menachem's view is a single analyst's perspective and does not represent official Israeli or US policy. No independent confirmation of the claimed veto was available.
- DevelopingIran expert: Regime's failure to attack Israel shows 'tremendous fear' of Israeli response
- DevelopingAnalyst: Iran refrains from firing on Israel due to Israeli deterrence, not US pressure
- StrongIsraeli officials say Iran avoiding conflict, outline two triggers for Israeli involvement
- DevelopingThe Zioneer: Iran avoids direct attacks on Israel due to deterrence, not restraint
Source and signal
A single-sourced dispatch is never rated Confirmed or Strong. Its Signal strengthens only when a second, independent source corroborates it.
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