An intelligence assessment delivered to the political echelon in recent days holds that Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei does not intend to reach a final agreement, according to Israeli defense sources. The assessment was relayed over the past 48 hours.
An Israeli intelligence assessment delivered to the political leadership over the past two days concludes that Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei does not want a final agreement, according to defense sources. The assessment was transmitted to the political echelon within the last 48 hours.
This assessment stands in opposition to public statements by the Trump administration that Khamenei has approved an emerging deal. As The Zioneer reported on June 12, President Trump stated that he was told Khamenei had signed off on a framework agreement. The new Israeli assessment casts doubt on that claim, suggesting Khamenei's ultimate intention is to avoid a binding accord, regardless of interim signaling.
The assessment arrives amid a complex picture. On June 8, Iran International reported that contact with Khamenei had been lost amid the missile escalation, and that Tehran's latest barrage was launched via pre-set protocols without coordination from the Supreme Leader's office — raising questions about who controls decision-making in Iran at moments of crisis. Separately, an Iranian source told the Abu Saleh Arabic Desk that the IRGC is preparing for a wider missile offensive, not for further talks.
The Israeli assessment is based on intelligence gathered over recent days, but the precise sources and timeline have not been disclosed. It remains unclear whether the assessment reflects a static Iranian position or one that could shift under pressure.
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Source and signal
- Internal intake