A military analyst close to Israeli intelligence assesses that Iran will refrain from retaliatory action for the Dahiyeh strike and will instead sign an emerging US-Iran agreement, according to a post cited by i24NEWS. The analyst argues the deal itself, accompanied by additional incentives offered by President Trump, will be what halts any Iranian military response.
An Israeli military analyst said Wednesday night (23:53 Jerusalem) that Iran will not retaliate for the Dahiyeh strike and will instead sign an emerging US-Iran agreement. The assessment, cited by i24NEWS, argues that 'this agreement' — along with 'several additional gifts' Trump offered Tehran — will itself halt any Iranian military response.
The analyst's view adds a specific military-intelligence layer to a thread The Zioneer has tracked all evening. At 21:03 Jerusalem, the desk reported an Israeli assessment that Trump would soon announce a concession to prevent retaliation. At 22:51 Jerusalem, a political commentator assessed that Trump is desperate for a deal and willing to offer incentives, and our earliest thread version at the same time reported Trump is weighing lifting the naval blockade and Strait of Hormuz restrictions. By 23:52 Jerusalem, the desk reported that Trump spoke with Netanyahu and stated Iran will not get nuclear weapons and the Strait of Hormuz will reopen.
These developments follow a broader diplomatic context The Zioneer reported on June 12: Trump confirmed a 60-day ceasefire and Strait of Hormuz reopening (08:39 Jerusalem), and details emerged of a completed US-Iran 'Islamabad Agreement' framework (08:22 Jerusalem).
The analyst did not specify what 'gifts' or concessions Trump has offered. The assessment treats the agreement as the primary de-escalation mechanism but does not cite any confirmation from US, Iranian, or Israeli official sources that a deal is definitively signed or that Iran has formally agreed to refrain from retaliation.
4 developments
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- DevelopingIsrael Hayom: Deepening analysis warns of hidden dangers in emerging US-Iran deal
- DevelopingIran reportedly waiting to see first steps by Israel and US before retaliating
Source and signal
- Internal intake