Israeli sources assess that the Peace Council may determine within two to three months that Hamas is violating the ceasefire agreement. Such a determination would allow Israel to operate militarily in areas under Hamas control, including the Gaza Strip, which has recently receded from the security agenda. The assessment comes ahead of Israeli elections, raising the possibility that Gaza could return to the center of political and security debate.
Israeli sources assess that the Peace Council, which oversees the Gaza ceasefire agreement, could within two to three months rule that Hamas is in breach of the deal, potentially clearing the way for expanded Israeli military operations in areas under Hamas control, including the Gaza Strip. The assessment comes as the Gaza Strip has receded from the security agenda in recent months, but could return to the center of political and security debate ahead of Israeli elections.
The Zioneer has previously reported on a series of Gaza-related developments: a senior Israeli security official said on July 1 that a return to fighting in Gaza is a matter of 'when, not if'; on June 29, the IDF was reported to be accelerating strikes amid intelligence on Hamas rearming; and on June 24, a source said Hamas was rebuilding launch sites. The current assessment adds a specific timeline and a potential trigger mechanism — a formal ruling by the Peace Council — that could shape the next phase of the conflict.
The assessment remains unconfirmed and is based on sources in the Israeli security establishment. The Peace Council's exact decision-making process and timeline are not detailed.
2 developments
- DevelopingGaza 'Board of Peace' advances initiatives without awaiting Hamas response on disarmament
- StrongDiplomats say Gaza ceasefire deal unlikely before Israeli elections, US official pushes for Hamas disarmament first
- DevelopingGaza Board of Peace finalizes governance plans as disarmament talks stall
- DevelopingHamas awaits Israeli elections amid stalled Phase 2 talks, disappointed with Iran
Source and signal
- Internal intake