Channel 12's Yaron Avraham reports that the intelligence regarding Yahya Sinwar's warning days before the October 7, 2023, attack — that 'the prisons in Israel will soon shake' — originated from UAE President Mohammed bin Zayed. The warning was initially interpreted as relating to a hostage deal, not an impending invasion, and was classified as highly sensitive.
The Zioneer reports on a new revelation regarding the intelligence failure surrounding the October 7, 2023, attack. Channel 12's Yaron Avraham reports that the secret warning from Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar — delivered days before the invasion — that 'the prisons in Israel will soon shake' was originally sourced from UAE President Mohammed bin Zayed (MBZ). The warning was provided to Israel in a clandestine manner, but was misinterpreted as a message related to the issue of prisoners and missing persons, specifically the case of Israeli-Russian researcher Elizabeth Tsurkov, who was being held by Shia militias in Iraq. The information was classified as 'sensitive' and known to a very small circle.
As The Zioneer has previously reported (July 6, 2026), captured Hamas documents revealed that Sinwar expected a full Hezbollah invasion on October 7, indicating a high level of strategic coordination. The newly revealed role of the UAE as a source of intelligence on Sinwar's warning adds a significant layer to the understanding of the pre-war period. The Zioneer's archives also document earlier reports on the intelligence penetration and the failure to interpret warnings correctly. This morning's report from Avraham suggests that the sensitivity of the source — MBZ — explains why the information was kept so tightly held.
6 developments
- StrongLapid says Netanyahu dismissed UAE, Egypt and security chiefs' warnings before Oct. 7 massacre
- ConfirmedPre-October 7 discussion participants break silence, claim no one knew of UAE message
- StrongMendi Asraf: Senior source says last Netanyahu-UAE president call before Oct 7 was in early 2023
- DevelopingSocial media commentary: Islamic Jihad rally six days before October 7 was ignored, writer claims
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