According to Ariel Kahana (Israel Hayom), the US-Iran deal is expected to be signed this Friday, with the immediate practical step being both countries reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Kahana assesses that the agreement, which Trump has long sought, leaves Israel politically exposed in Washington and compares the framework to the 1938 Munich Agreement.
Ariel Kahana (Israel Hayom) reports that the Trump administration is finalizing a memorandum of understanding with Iran, with signing expected this Friday. Kahana, who interviewed Trump in early 2024, says the immediate practical step will be the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz by both countries, and that Tehran has reportedly received or will receive several billion dollars. He warns the framework leaves Israel politically exposed in Washington, comparing it to the 1938 Munich Agreement — with the United States now the signatory. The analysis reflects deepening concern in Israeli security circles that Washington perceives Israel as war-mongering. This report arrives after President Trump's own series of announcements tonight: he declared the deal done, lifted the naval blockade, and said the Strait will reopen at a Friday signing ceremony after mine clearance. Trump told the New York Times earlier this morning that Netanyahu is a 'very difficult guy' and that Israel owes the US gratitude for the nuclear deal.
The reported the US-Iran diplomatic track over the past week. On Thu Jun 11, 22:44 Jerusalem, Trump first signaled a 'wonderful deal' was reached with signing possible within days. By Sat Jun 13, 01:15 Jerusalem, Axios reported Trump told Netanyahu 'it's time to end this war' as the deal neared. Tonight's thread began at 23:37 Jerusalem with multiple rapid-fire Trump statements—lifting the blockade, setting a Friday signing, and reversing an earlier claim of immediate reopening—before settling on the Friday date for both signing and reopening. The Kahana report adds a distinctly Israeli strategic frame, warning of political exposure. The sourcing remains a single Israeli journalist's analysis; Trump's own statements constitute the only on-record US confirmation of the deal's terms.
The Zioneer reported on Jun 9 that Trump expected clarity on Iran negotiations within 48 hours while maintaining a '100% blockade.' On Jun 10, an unattributed assessment placed the odds of a permanent peace deal at roughly 30% by end of July, with most sources having 'lost hope' in a quick resolution. On Jun 11, both Trump-Netanyahu contacts and Iran state media signaled high likelihood of a deal.
Several open questions remain. The precise terms of the MoU beyond the Strait reopening and reported financial transfers are unconfirmed. It is unclear whether the 60-day negotiation window Kahana cites will produce a permanent deal, which he doubts even within Trump's term. Iran has not yet formally confirmed the agreement. The reported cancellation of a planned retaliatory attack on Israel, attributed to Trump's mediation by The New York Times, has not been independently corroborated.
17 developments
- StrongTrump finalizes 'historic' Iran deal, says Strait of Hormuz to reopen
- StrongTrump says Strait of Hormuz to reopen as early as Saturday or Monday
- ConfirmedU.S. and Iran reportedly near agreement on nuclear freeze, sanctions relief, and Strait of Hormuz reopening
- DevelopingSecurity Cabinet to Convene Wednesday on US-Iran Deal Aftermath
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- Internal intake